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Monday, July 9, 2018

"Just a Random Thing?" - Mon. PM KTFA Thoughts/News


Samson » July 9th, 2018

Will Russia and Turkey knock the last nail into the coffin of dollar dominance ?

9th July, 2018

Since December 2017 Russia has reduced its holdings of US government bonds by more than half in favor of increasing the share of gold in its international reserves

An analysis by Bloomberg View suggests that although this is understandable behavior by a country that must deal with unexpected sanctions by the United States, it is also part of a global trend

Foreign governments and international organizations have become a declining share of US debt repayments, and some economies have in recent years sharply increased gold holdings in their reserves

Russia's contribution to American religion

Russia's holdings of US bonds fell to $ 48.7 billion in April, from $ 10.2 billion in December 2017, a sharp decline

But the decline in Russia's holdings of US government bonds was not a crisis for the United States. Moscow's investment in US debt is very small compared to countries such as Japan, China, Brazil and some European countries

The United States, whose debt is close to $ 21 trillion, can not see fluctuations in tens of millions of dollars as a result of efforts by a country seeking to escape the dollar and combat negative economic effects

Is this a sign of concern for the United States?

The United States can calm itself down and gain a certain sense of security as it monitors the increasing share of foreigners in its financial debt in absolute terms, while the dollar is slowly declining as a share of official foreign exchange reserves

According to IMF data, the US currency represented 62.7 percent of the country's foreign reserves, down from 64.59 percent in 2014 But the euro share also saw a decline to 20.15%, from 21.57%

However, the United States has some concerns when it comes to dominating the official international reserves of other countries. In relative terms, governments and central banks are less concerned about the ballooning debt of the United States

Why is there a caution against American debt?

US debt is growing faster than global international reserves, partly explained by the decline in the role of foreign countries in terms of US government funding

Borrowing growth is faster than global savings . There is an abundance of US debt, but countries do not care to increase the share of those debts in their reserves

Instead, the share of US bonds in reserves fell to 25.4 percent from 28.1 percent in 2008. By contrast, gold's share had stabilized at 11 percent over the same period, according to the World Gold Council

This is in part due to the tendency of some authorities to own gold. Along with Russia in this direction, Kazakhstan and Turkey, which recently joined with President Tayyip Erdogan's belief that the West seeks to punish his country because of the policy of strengthening sovereignty

Authorities obsession with gold

Russia, Turkey and Kazakhstan account for 50% of net gold purchases by central banks in the past five years. The major European economies, which have long retained gold as the largest component of their reserves, have kept their stakes stable rather than the additional investment in dollar assets

In the euro area, including the European Central Bank, countries put 55 percent of their reserves in gold, the same as in 2008

More recently, total demand for gold fell, falling by 7% yoy in the first quarter of this year as a result of a drop in private investment demand

Central banks bought 116.5 tonnes of gold in the first three months of 2018, the highest in any quarter since 2014, and 42 percent year-on-year

For Turkey and Russia, the decision to cut foreign currency holdings appears to be strategic. Like Russia, Turkey recently moved quickly outside the US debt, with a 38 percent reduction since October 2017

The reason why many countries have not followed the same direction as Turkey and Russia on the background of their concern about the economic policies of US President Donald Trump and his wars, isolationism and the relatively weak US dollar is that the performance of gold is weaker than the US dollar

Foreign reserve officials in most countries act increasingly like investors as they seek positive returns. This means that politically motivated and politically motivated moves for gold are not the motive for most of them. But when the precious metal starts to rise, perhaps in response to inflation

Meanwhile, reserve managers are looking for other non-dollar assets, with all but one of the reserve currencies, except for the dollar, rising slightly since Trump's election

This is a very shy shift so far, but that should not fool US policymakers. The US dollar has dominated the international reserves for almost a century, but in relative terms, that is a very short period

The pound was the preferred currency before the dollar and before it the French franc

It is unreasonable for the world to continue to buy US debt at the same levels regardless of US policies and the changing perceptions of the political and economic power of the United States. Therefore, the Russian and Turkish transformation into gold could be a prelude to larger global transformations LINK

Don961 » July 9th, 2018

Now why do you suppose an Iraqi news site would post an article about currencies that are highly traded in the world ?? ... Showing their security features .... Just a random thing ?? ... Or on purpose ??? ... To educate ?? ... IMO

Learn about the security features of the world's most highly traded currency

2018/7/9 10:00:25 AM

It is said that the first coins that were minted in Lydia (now western Turkey) were often forged, and that the forging of coins in ancient Rome was a daily occurrence.

The Roman emperors forged the coins in their own way; they made them of low-value metals; which devalued the currency, and then tried to pass it to trade at a value higher than its real value.

Counterfeit money remained a problem even thousands of years later. At the beginning of the civil war in America in 1861, half of the paper currency was counterfeit.

​Governments around the world are trying to take action to prevent counterfeiting of paper currency and to devise new currency printing techniques that make it easier to distinguish them from counterfeit money.

Here are the security features of the 10 most commonly traded paper currencies in the world, according to the "titlemax" website.

Source: Numbers Link

Samson » July 9th, 2018


9th July, 2018

The government of Iraq is committed to implementing a stable macroeconomic framework driven by significant growth potential in the oil and gas sector as well as non-oil industries. A potential leader in emerging markets, Iraq offers unlimited investment opportunities and requires over USD 30 billion of foreign direct investment (FDI) per annum.

After three years under combat operations, the end of Iraq’s war against the Islamic State (ISIS) encourages the country’s reconstruction and economic reformation.

As a result of healthy foreign international reserves, limited restrictions on cross-border fund transfers as well as an attractive legal framework that provides greater protection and incentives for foreign investors, investments in the country is expected to generate the highest rate of returns. In 2018, governments from over 76 countries, global funds, organisations and investors pledged USD 30 billion in loans and investment to rebuild Iraq.

For more information on Frost & Sullivan’s recent study – Iraq’s Untapped Opportunities; Path to Investment Boom and to access the info graphics, click here.

Apart from FDI, primary opportunity areas for global companies also include technology upgrades and manufacturing process improvement across all industries. Most industries operate on obsolete or old technologies as wars and earlier sanctions prevented access to latest technologies. Therefore, Iraqi companies seek to partner with global companies to benefit from their best practices in manufacturing processes.

“As a national development plan, Iraq aims to boost the economy through privatisation and development of oil & gas as well as minerals along the value chain. The plan is to not only privatise existing state-owned enterprises but also support SMEs with tax holidays and financial incentives. All in all, FDI inflow is expected to help the Iraqi Government to achieve the target within the next five years,” said Mr. Ali Mirmohammad, Senior Consultant & Business Development Manager at Frost & Sullivan.

Mineral Oil, Natural Gas and Phosphate Deposits are among the top natural resources in Iraq that call for huge investment opportunities along the value chain. Huge volumes of mineral reserves remain untapped. This provides enormous opportunities for excavation and extraction of minerals. Opportunities are thus significant for mineral extraction companies, equipment suppliers as well as downstream investors.

Lucrative prospects are likely present for private investors, especially in the sectors that are currently in dire need of re-building and development such as banking, minerals, renewable energies, telecommunications, landfills, e-Commerce, recycling, water and sanitation, food and tourism.

“Enabled by the prospect of greater stability and security, Iraq has listed a total of over 212 projects ready for investment across more than 10 sectors. Of these sectors, oil and refineries is the most promising sector for investors followed by industrial and manufacturing, infrastructure, health and education, energy and agriculture sector,” added Mirmohammad.

To attract foreign investors, the Iraqi Government has offered a list of guarantees and privileges including tax holidays for 10 years (extendable to 15 years in some cases), the right of ownership and protection against seizure or nationalisation of the investment project, the right to deal on the Iraq Stock Exchange (ISX), rent or lease lands needed for the project for the term of the investment project, the right to repatriate the capital brought into Iraq and many more.

With a population of nearly 40 million, Iraq is also emerging as one of top consumer markets in the Middle East that primarily depends on imports. Frost & Sullivan’s recent study, Iraq’s Untapped Opportunities; Path to Investment Boom, highlights the growth potential in the following markets from 2018 to 2022 – Grains, Food & Beverages (8-10% CAGR), Pharmaceuticals (10-12% CAGR), Beauty and Personal Care (8-10% CAGR), Furniture and Homewares (5-6% CAGR), Footwear, Textile and Apparel (5-6% CAGR), Medical Devices (18-20% CAGR), Consumer Electronics (7-8% CAGR) and Plastic Products (9-10% CAGR).

Iraq plans to focus on the Oil & Gas value chain, downstream value chain, Minerals value chain, and tourism and financial services to move the GDP growth rate by 6% annually in the next 8 years. Hence, with a population of over 39 million people as of 2018, Iraq remains an attractive consumer market with potential of over USD 40 billion.

About Frost & Sullivan

For over five decades, Frost & Sullivan has become world-renowned for its role in helping investors, corporate leaders and governments navigate economic changes and identify disruptive technologies, Mega Trends, new business models and companies to action, resulting in a continuous flow of growth opportunities to drive future success. LINK

European firms optimistic about Việt Nam’s business environment

9th July, 2018

European firms remain optimistic about the business environment in Việt Nam, according to EuroCham’s latest Business Climate Index (BCI).

The BCI, which was released recently, for the first quarter of 2018 was 78 points, up one point from the previous quarterly survey.

However, the percentage of respondents rating the business situation as excellent dropped by nearly 10 per cent, with an increase of 7 per cent of respondents describing the situation as good. Negative responses were at almost the same level as Q4 in 2017.

More respondents showed confidence in a stable and improving macro-economic environment in Việt Nam with a 9 per cent increase, while those expecting no change in the next quarter increased by nearly 10 per cent.

The survey showed that inflation was not a major concern for EuroCham members, with 84 per cent believing it would have either no or a minor impact.

Regarding headcount, the number of businesses expecting to maintain the current size of their workforce remained at 40 per cent, while 12 per cent planned to significantly increase their workforce. Responses indicating an intention to reduce headcount accounted for 5 per cent compared to 10 per cent in the previous quarter.

Meanwhile, 45 per cent of respondents said they intended to maintain their level of investment, a 9 per cent rise.

EuroCham Co-Chairman Nicolas Audier said that the BCI survey results for Q1, 2018 continued to show positive expectations from EuroCham members toward Việt Nam, albeit not at the same levels of optimism as in 2016.

“EuroCham hopes that this interest inspires the Vietnamese Government to improve the business environment further, particularly regarding the changes to the legal framework that will enable Việt Nam to fulfil its commitments under the EU-Việt Nam Free Trade Agreement, expected to come into force later this year,” he said.

Audier noted that even though the BCI score was very positive (78 out of 100), there was still some legal and regulatory work to do. He added that EuroCham was confident that current hurdles to liberalisation would be surpassed and the next survey would again reflect an excellent outlook from the perspective of the European and Europe-related business community in Việt Nam. LINK

More Vietnamese prefer cashless payments: Visa

9th July, 2018

More Vietnamese consumers are preferring cashless and contactless payments to make the process faster, according to Visa.

The number of contactless transactions has been growing at 44 per cent per month since July last year. The total value of purchases made using Visa contactless cards increased by 43 per cent a month in the same period.

Sean Preston, Visa’s country manager for Việt Nam, Cambodia and Laos, said: “Vietnamese consumers, retailers and financial institutions are embracing the concept of going cashless. We’re seeing very positive growth in the usage of Visa contactless payments as more consumers understand the benefits of speed, security and convenience that contactless payments can bring to their everyday purchases.”

According to the Visa Consumer Payment Attitudes Report, which polled 4,000 consumers in Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Việt Nam in July 2017, more than half of consumers in Việt Nam were aware of contactless payments.

Around 30 per cent have used contactless payments and two thirds are interested in trying it.

Fashion and beauty products are the main items purchased using contactless payments.

Contactless technology is shifting the in-store payment landscape, opening up space for consumer-centric innovation. Contactless payment provides a safer and more convenient purchasing experience for customers and a more effective solution for issuers’ sales and customer satisfaction, and improves checkout productivity for merchants. LINK

Source: Dinar Recaps



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